Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -5 (104-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 39 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 38 | 10-23 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 32 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 36 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 32 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 44 | 8-15 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Maxey * | 39 | 12-23 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed * | 39 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| KJ Martin * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ricky Council IV | 22 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 21 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Terquavion Smith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter