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2024-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 58.0% 42.0% -
Bradley-Terry 62.8% 37.2% -
Margin 58.7% 41.3% -1.9 (24.9 off)
Pythagorean 60.4% 39.6% -
Efficiency 74.5% 25.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.2% 28.8% -
Log Adjusted 71.2% 28.8% -
Points Off/Def 60.2% 39.8% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +23 (122-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Johnson * 37 9-18 0-5 1-2 12 0 0 2 19 - -
Trae Young * 34 4-12 2-8 2-2 2 12 0 0 12 - -
Saddiq Bey * 31 5-13 2-5 2-2 4 1 0 1 14 - -
Dejounte Murray * 31 5-15 1-7 2-3 7 4 1 2 13 - -
Bruno Fernando * 25 2-5 0-0 2-2 12 1 1 1 6 - -
De'Andre Hunter 28 6-12 2-4 7-7 3 1 1 0 21 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 28 4-9 2-5 2-2 5 4 1 0 12 - -
Garrison Mathews 16 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Kobe Bufkin 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Vit Krejci 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Miller * 36 8-19 4-9 6-6 6 4 1 3 26 - -
Miles Bridges * 34 5-13 3-6 4-4 5 4 1 1 17 - -
Nick Richards * 29 5-5 0-0 2-3 7 0 0 0 12 - -
Tre Mann * 29 7-13 4-5 3-3 8 6 2 0 21 - -
Cody Martin * 29 3-6 0-1 0-0 7 4 1 0 6 - -
Grant Williams 27 7-12 1-5 0-0 10 2 2 0 15 - -
Vasilije Micic 19 4-9 1-3 4-4 2 5 0 0 13 - -
Seth Curry 17 4-8 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 9 - -
Davis Bertans 13 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Bryce McGowens 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
JT Thor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter