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2024-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 73.5% 26.5% -
Bradley-Terry 45.9% 54.1% -
Margin 59.6% 40.4% -2.1 (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 33.2% 66.8% -
Efficiency 17.0% 83.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% -
Log Adjusted 18.8% 81.2% -
Points Off/Def 24.0% 76.0% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +14 (125-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ausar Thompson * 28 9-13 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 19 - -
Jaden Ivey * 28 5-16 1-6 4-4 2 5 2 1 15 - -
Simone Fontecchio * 25 3-6 2-4 0-2 4 4 0 0 8 - -
Cade Cunningham * 25 4-15 0-2 4-4 7 7 0 0 12 - -
Jalen Duren * 23 4-9 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 8 - -
Evan Fournier 24 4-9 2-5 3-4 4 1 2 0 13 - -
James Wiseman 23 8-12 0-0 2-3 9 2 0 1 18 - -
Shake Milton 18 4-9 0-1 0-0 6 4 0 0 8 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 17 3-7 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 7 - -
Marcus Sasser 17 1-10 1-3 0-0 3 5 1 0 3 - -
Mike Muscala 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 32 3-9 2-5 7-7 7 6 1 1 15 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 31 8-18 4-9 1-2 2 3 0 1 21 - -
Rui Hachimura * 30 7-10 0-2 1-4 5 2 0 0 15 - -
LeBron James * 30 9-15 3-6 4-4 1 8 0 0 25 - -
Anthony Davis * 28 6-12 1-3 7-7 14 4 0 6 20 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie 31 2-6 1-5 1-1 2 7 2 0 6 - -
Taurean Prince 22 3-5 2-3 0-1 5 1 1 1 8 - -
Christian Wood 13 4-7 1-2 2-2 4 0 1 1 11 - -
Jaxson Hayes 13 0-0 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 1 2 - -
Jalen Hood-Schifino 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Maxwell Lewis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Colin Castleton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter