Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +5 (130-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 39 | 14-31 | 5-12 | 7-10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 40 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 38 | 14-22 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 18 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 35 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 37 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 23 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 33 | 9-16 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Allen * | 39 | 7-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 38 | 11-17 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 38 | 7-17 | 0-2 | 11-13 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 29 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 27 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 18 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter