Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.8% | 15.2% | -9.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -14 (113-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 34 | 12-18 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 34 | 11-24 | 1-1 | 9-10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 30 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 13 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 35 | 9-15 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 34 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 33 | 5-13 | 4-12 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 30 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris | 24 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 15 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 14 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 12 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chuma Okeke | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jett Howard | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter