Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | +12.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +8 (112-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyus Jones * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 33 | 11-17 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 32 | 9-19 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 26 | 1-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 30 | 1-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 24 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 42 | 10-19 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 8-16 | 2-7 | 8-11 | 11 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 29 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 24 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 21 | 2-13 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 12 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter