Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | -2.0 | ✗ (19.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +17 (112-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 31 | 13-25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 28 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 17 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 22 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 22 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 18 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Braxton Key | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 30 | 14-19 | 0-0 | 8-14 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 36 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 30 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 29 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 22 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 25 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 22 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 15 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Livingston | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter