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2024-02-13

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 38.1% 61.9% -
Bradley-Terry 20.7% 79.3% -
Margin 10.5% 89.5% +11.8 (20.8 off)
Pythagorean 61.5% 38.5% -
Efficiency 79.8% 20.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.8% 23.2% -
Log Adjusted 76.8% 23.2% -
Points Off/Def 66.0% 34.0% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -9 (87-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 36 7-14 2-6 0-1 2 6 1 1 16 - -
Herbert Jones * 35 5-9 3-6 4-4 9 1 5 0 17 - -
Zion Williamson * 34 4-13 0-0 6-7 5 4 1 1 14 - -
CJ McCollum * 33 4-15 3-8 0-0 5 2 1 0 11 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 17 1-4 0-1 4-6 6 3 0 1 6 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 30 3-4 1-2 1-2 9 3 1 0 8 - -
Trey Murphy III 25 3-8 1-5 2-2 3 2 1 1 9 - -
Jose Alvarado 14 3-7 2-5 2-2 3 0 2 0 10 - -
Naji Marshall 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 7 0 0 0 5 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vince Williams Jr. * 37 4-8 1-5 3-3 3 9 1 0 12 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 35 8-19 2-8 4-5 6 3 1 0 22 - -
Santi Aldama * 29 2-9 2-8 0-0 4 5 0 1 6 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. * 24 2-7 2-5 0-0 3 6 0 1 6 - -
John Konchar * 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 1 2 - -
Luke Kennard 28 4-10 4-9 0-0 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Lamar Stevens 26 5-10 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 2 10 - -
Yuta Watanabe 24 5-12 1-7 0-0 2 1 2 0 11 - -
Trey Jemison 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 3 6 - -

* = starter