Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.2% | 45.8% | -0.9 | ✓ (22.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -23 (99-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Sochan * | 30 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 28 | 10-14 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 27 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 27 | 9-15 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 28 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 20 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 19 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 30 | 3-15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 25 | 2-12 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 24 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 31 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick | 21 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 21 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji | 17 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jontay Porter | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mouhamadou Gueye | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter