Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +14 (127-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 41 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 33 | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 33 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 32 | 6-17 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 21 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 29 | 10-20 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 16 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 19 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Alex Len | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 38 | 15-26 | 3-4 | 5-9 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 38 | 25 | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 36 | 13-20 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 29 | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 32 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter