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2024-02-11

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 14.5% 85.5% -
Bradley-Terry 23.5% 76.5% -
Margin 19.2% 80.8% +7.9 (16.9 off)
Pythagorean 64.6% 35.4% -
Efficiency 83.6% 16.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.5% 19.5% -
Log Adjusted 80.6% 19.4% -
Points Off/Def 69.5% 30.5% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -9 (84-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Herbert Jones * 37 6-7 2-3 0-0 4 5 3 0 14 - -
Brandon Ingram * 36 8-21 0-2 1-4 4 9 1 1 17 - -
CJ McCollum * 32 2-14 1-9 3-4 3 7 1 1 8 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 29 7-9 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 1 16 - -
Trey Murphy III * 29 7-10 5-8 5-6 5 0 1 2 24 - -
Jose Alvarado 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 3 1 2 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Naji Marshall 17 4-5 2-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 10 - -
Jordan Hawkins 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Matt Ryan 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 41 7-17 2-5 8-12 5 4 0 0 24 - -
Deandre Ayton * 37 9-18 0-0 0-0 17 3 2 3 18 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 29 2-6 1-5 2-2 2 1 2 0 7 - -
Jabari Walker * 28 3-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Ashton Hagans * 23 2-4 0-1 1-2 2 4 1 1 5 - -
Dalano Banton 24 5-14 1-5 1-1 3 3 0 0 12 - -
Kris Murray 22 1-2 1-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 - -
Toumani Camara 19 2-8 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 5 - -
Ibou Badji 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Justin Minaya 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter