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2024-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 48.5% 51.5% -
Bradley-Terry 35.6% 64.4% -
Margin 26.1% 73.9% +5.7 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% -
Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Log Adjusted 48.3% 51.7% -
Points Off/Def 44.3% 55.7% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +1 (113-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 39 10-25 2-8 2-2 10 7 1 2 24 - -
Devin Booker * 38 11-21 2-8 8-9 4 6 1 1 32 - -
Bradley Beal * 34 7-16 1-4 0-0 6 5 2 0 15 - -
Grayson Allen * 32 4-11 2-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 10 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 26 3-7 0-1 0-0 6 4 0 1 6 - -
Eric Gordon 23 2-5 1-3 2-2 1 0 1 0 7 - -
Drew Eubanks 16 1-1 0-0 2-2 4 1 2 2 4 - -
Royce O'Neale 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 1 3 - -
Josh Okogie 10 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 1 8 - -
Bol Bol 8 1-2 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 0 3 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonathan Kuminga * 34 9-18 0-1 3-5 5 2 0 0 21 - -
Stephen Curry * 33 10-22 9-16 1-2 9 6 1 0 30 - -
Draymond Green * 29 7-9 1-3 0-0 7 9 0 0 15 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 28 5-13 1-4 1-2 5 3 2 0 12 - -
Klay Thompson * 24 2-10 1-7 0-0 2 1 1 1 5 - -
Brandin Podziemski 35 4-12 2-4 0-0 8 7 0 0 10 - -
Lester Quinones 19 2-6 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Gary Payton II 14 5-5 1-1 0-0 4 2 1 1 11 - -
Dario Saric 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -
Kevon Looney 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 3 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter