Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.1% | 22.9% | -6.7 | ✓ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -24 (95-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 31 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 30 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 29 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 28 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 27 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro | 26 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 22 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 17 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 13 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 35 | 9-15 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 32 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 32 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 22 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick | 22 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 22 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji | 19 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jontay Porter | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter