Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.7% | 28.3% | -5.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +9 (122-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 37 | 10-22 | 2-9 | 4-7 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 36 | 4-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 34 | 5-19 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 31 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 22 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nate Williams | 8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 39 | 9-19 | 4-9 | 12-15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 39 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson * | 39 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 32 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 4-6 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 30 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kobe Bufkin | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter