Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 87.6% | 12.4% | -10.8 | ✗ (45.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +35 (146-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 28 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 26 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 22 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 22 | 3-14 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 17 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 25 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 16 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 13 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 13 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Olivier Sarr | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 33 | 11-19 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 31 | 9-14 | 4-8 | 10-13 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 23 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 25 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington | 24 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 17 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 10 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter