Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.8% | 29.2% | -4.9 | ✗ (33.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +29 (135-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Holiday * | 36 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 29 | 9-17 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 26 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 25 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 27 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 20 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 30 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 27 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 26 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 21 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 21 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 20 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 19 | 9-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Sasha Vezenkov | 15 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 14 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Colby Jones | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter