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2024-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 32.4% 67.6% -
Bradley-Terry 21.1% 78.9% -
Margin 21.5% 78.5% +7.1 (28.9 off)
Pythagorean 28.3% 71.7% -
Efficiency 9.5% 90.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.2% 86.8% -
Log Adjusted 13.2% 86.8% -
Points Off/Def 19.9% 80.1% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +36 (120-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 31 2-16 2-6 5-6 5 3 0 0 11 - -
Leaky Black * 30 1-2 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 0 4 - -
Nick Richards * 29 7-9 0-0 2-3 11 0 0 1 16 - -
Brandon Miller * 29 6-18 1-6 3-4 6 3 1 1 16 - -
Cody Martin * 24 2-9 0-3 1-2 5 5 0 0 5 - -
Bryce McGowens 30 5-10 2-5 3-4 5 0 1 0 15 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 23 2-10 2-8 7-8 3 3 0 0 13 - -
Nathan Mensah 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 - -
JT Thor 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Amari Bailey 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 29 9-18 2-8 6-6 4 8 3 0 26 - -
Jae Crowder * 29 1-7 1-6 2-3 2 3 0 0 5 - -
Brook Lopez * 26 4-9 1-5 2-2 7 2 0 3 11 - -
Malik Beasley * 24 7-9 7-9 0-1 2 2 1 0 21 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 23 5-10 0-1 5-7 14 3 1 1 15 - -
Bobby Portis 20 7-14 3-4 1-1 7 1 1 0 18 - -
AJ Green 18 1-9 1-9 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 - -
Pat Connaughton 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 5 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Patrick Beverley 11 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 6 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 10 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 4 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 7 0-2 0-1 4-4 3 0 0 0 4 - -
TyTy Washington Jr. 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter