Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.1% | 25.9% | -5.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +3 (107-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 30 | 6-13 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 22 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 30 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 27 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 17 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immanuel Quickley * | 38 | 9-19 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 37 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 35 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 34 | 4-16 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 33 | 2-11 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 22 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick | 19 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jontay Porter | 10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter