Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -8 (106-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 37 | 11-20 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 9-20 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 13 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 12-25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 38 | 14-27 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 32 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 37 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves * | 36 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 35 | 9-20 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Max Christie * | 15 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince | 34 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 17 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter