Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +16 (127-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 35 | 11-18 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 22 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 25 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 25 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 24 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 31 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 29 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 28 | 13-17 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 34 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 25 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 18 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 16 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 15 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Chuma Okeke | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter