Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.6% | 41.4% | -1.9 | ✓ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -22 (109-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 33 | 9-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 30 | 15-22 | 11-16 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 42 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 26 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Lester Quinones | 26 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Gui Santos | 20 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 17 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jerome Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 29 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 22 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 23 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 20 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 20 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 13 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter