Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.8% | 30.2% | -4.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -13 (120-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Ivey * | 37 | 13-23 | 5-7 | 6-6 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 37 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson * | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala * | 25 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 32 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 28 | 7-12 | 5-7 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Joe Harris | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 40 | 11-17 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 0-4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 33 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 34 | 10-21 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 22 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Sasha Vezenkov | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter