Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.2% | 88.8% | +11.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +8 (125-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 37 | 8-25 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson * | 36 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 35 | 5-18 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 35 | 9-16 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 35 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter | 23 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 36 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 35 | 8-21 | 2-13 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 35 | 8-14 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 33 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 31 | 13-19 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 24 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter