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2024-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 61.5% 38.5% -
Bradley-Terry 61.2% 38.8% -
Margin 55.8% 44.2% -1.3 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% -
Efficiency 64.4% 35.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.9% 39.1% -
Log Adjusted 61.0% 39.0% -
Points Off/Def 52.5% 47.5% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -6 (117-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 35 6-14 1-5 5-6 4 5 0 1 18 - -
RJ Barrett * 33 9-15 4-6 1-1 6 5 0 1 23 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 33 5-7 0-0 2-2 12 2 0 1 12 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 30 6-13 3-6 3-4 3 4 0 0 18 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 28 5-13 4-8 0-0 0 1 3 0 14 - -
Dennis Schroder 26 4-9 3-6 5-7 4 5 0 0 16 - -
Bruce Brown 21 4-5 0-0 4-4 3 4 1 0 12 - -
Gradey Dick 15 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Thaddeus Young 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 4 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Miller * 41 9-17 2-8 0-0 4 1 2 1 20 - -
Miles Bridges * 37 17-27 6-11 5-7 8 7 0 0 45 - -
Nick Richards * 28 1-2 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 0 5 - -
Cody Martin * 28 7-13 3-5 2-3 5 8 2 0 19 - -
Leaky Black * 23 1-2 0-1 1-2 3 3 0 1 3 - -
P.J. Washington 31 2-11 0-5 2-4 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Ish Smith 15 0-5 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 - -
Bryce McGowens 15 4-7 2-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 10 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 13 3-4 3-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 9 - -
Nathan Mensah 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter