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2024-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% -
Bradley-Terry 43.2% 56.8% -
Margin 43.5% 56.5% +1.4 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -
Efficiency 46.4% 53.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% -
Log Adjusted 44.8% 55.2% -
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +8 (114-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 38 13-24 1-3 7-13 10 6 0 0 34 - -
Malik Beasley * 35 7-17 6-14 2-2 4 2 0 0 22 - -
Pat Connaughton * 32 4-6 3-5 1-2 6 6 0 0 12 - -
Robin Lopez * 18 3-8 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 2 6 - -
Khris Middleton * 8 2-3 1-1 1-2 3 1 1 0 6 - -
Jae Crowder 39 4-9 0-4 2-2 6 3 2 1 10 - -
Bobby Portis 31 2-9 1-4 0-0 9 2 4 1 5 - -
Cameron Payne 22 4-10 1-4 2-4 4 3 2 0 11 - -
AJ Green 13 0-4 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 39 11-21 1-5 5-7 10 1 1 2 28 - -
Bradley Beal * 37 10-22 2-8 3-5 10 3 3 0 25 - -
Devin Booker * 37 12-21 2-6 6-10 1 4 0 0 32 - -
Grayson Allen * 33 2-4 2-4 2-2 3 3 1 1 8 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 32 5-9 0-1 0-1 10 4 2 0 10 - -
Eric Gordon 22 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 - -
Bol Bol 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 4 - -
Drew Eubanks 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 - -
Josh Okogie 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Goodwin 0 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Yuta Watanabe 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter