Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.4% | 33.6% | -3.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +3 (132-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 39 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 32 | 12-21 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 31 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 20 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 34 | 11-16 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 33 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 31 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 29 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 28 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 24 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 19 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter