Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.7% | 33.3% | -3.8 | ✗ (41.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +38 (138-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Poeltl * | 27 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 26 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 25 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 24 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick | 30 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 12 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 29 | 16-21 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 41 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 22 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 22 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 20 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 25 | 5-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III | 24 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter