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2024-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 36.6% 63.4% -
Bradley-Terry 52.3% 47.7% -
Margin 55.1% 44.9% -1.1 (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.1% 49.9% -
Log Adjusted 50.0% 50.0% -
Points Off/Def 45.8% 54.2% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -16 (102-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Doncic * 35 6-15 4-10 3-5 8 3 1 0 19 - -
Kyrie Irving * 34 10-17 2-3 1-1 5 8 2 1 23 - -
Josh Green * 31 6-9 4-7 4-4 6 4 2 0 20 - -
Maxi Kleber * 27 6-8 2-4 0-0 4 5 0 1 14 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 14 2-7 0-4 1-2 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Grant Williams 28 3-5 2-3 6-7 7 2 0 1 14 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 21 0-8 0-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Dwight Powell 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 - -
Jaden Hardy 14 6-10 3-6 2-2 1 0 0 0 17 - -
A.J. Lawson 4 3-3 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Richaun Holmes 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Brandon Williams 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Olivier-Maxence Prosper 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 34 8-11 1-1 0-0 6 6 2 1 17 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 32 6-16 1-5 2-3 2 7 0 0 15 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 31 7-17 2-7 3-5 6 0 1 0 19 - -
Paul Reed * 22 1-6 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 12 1-4 0-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 4 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. 23 4-10 2-4 0-0 5 0 1 1 10 - -
Patrick Beverley 21 3-8 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 7 - -
Jaden Springer 21 3-7 0-2 2-2 5 4 3 0 8 - -
Mo Bamba 17 2-7 0-1 1-2 10 0 0 1 5 - -
KJ Martin 5 2-3 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 1 5 - -
Ricky Council IV 5 2-2 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 0 7 - -
Terquavion Smith 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter