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2024-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 19.2% 80.8% -
Bradley-Terry 21.8% 78.2% -
Margin 12.1% 87.9% +10.9 (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% -
Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.4% 50.6% -
Log Adjusted 49.5% 50.5% -
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +26 (136-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 35 8-20 3-9 0-0 4 1 2 1 19 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 34 6-9 0-0 0-0 19 15 0 0 12 - -
Kevin Huerter * 31 4-9 2-5 0-0 3 4 1 0 10 - -
Harrison Barnes * 30 8-15 6-10 0-0 1 0 1 0 22 - -
Keegan Murray * 29 4-9 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 10 - -
Malik Monk 23 7-12 2-4 2-4 4 1 0 0 18 - -
Trey Lyles 18 2-5 0-3 3-4 4 1 1 0 7 - -
Davion Mitchell 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 - -
Kessler Edwards 8 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
JaVale McGee 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Chris Duarte 3 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Colby Jones 3 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Keon Ellis 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Alex Len 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 32 11-20 5-11 2-2 2 5 2 0 29 - -
Jarrett Allen * 29 8-10 0-0 3-4 7 3 0 2 19 - -
Evan Mobley * 27 5-12 0-1 1-2 14 7 2 1 11 - -
Darius Garland * 27 4-7 2-4 1-1 2 5 0 0 11 - -
Max Strus * 26 8-13 6-10 0-0 5 2 2 0 22 - -
Isaac Okoro 24 3-4 2-2 2-4 0 0 2 1 10 - -
Caris LeVert 23 6-12 3-4 2-4 6 7 1 0 17 - -
Dean Wade 15 2-2 2-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 6 - -
Georges Niang 15 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Sam Merrill 10 3-4 3-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 9 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Damian Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -

* = starter