Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +9 (112-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anfernee Simons * | 38 | 8-18 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 38 | 13-19 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle * | 33 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Scoot Henderson | 33 | 3-16 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Toumani Camara | 22 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath | 13 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Justin Minaya | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 8-16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 12-20 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 24 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 29 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 21 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter