Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | -0.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -8 (95-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 41 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 34 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Paul George * | 32 | 3-13 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Terance Mann * | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ivica Zubac * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell | 28 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Amir Coffey | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 15 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier * | 37 | 7-17 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 35 | 8-19 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 33 | 6-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 30 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 25 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter