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2024-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 36.4% 63.6% -
Bradley-Terry 68.7% 31.3% -
Margin 64.6% 35.4% -3.3 (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 65.8% 34.2% -
Efficiency 84.8% 15.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.1% 17.9% -
Log Adjusted 82.1% 17.9% -
Points Off/Def 71.7% 28.3% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -16 (99-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 35 11-20 1-4 2-3 8 9 1 1 25 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 33 8-11 3-5 3-3 8 4 1 0 22 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 27 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 - -
Myles Turner * 26 7-14 0-3 2-2 10 2 1 0 16 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 20 6-8 3-5 2-3 1 4 1 2 17 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 26 4-12 2-3 4-6 5 1 0 0 14 - -
T.J. McConnell 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 7 0 0 4 - -
Jalen Smith 20 4-9 1-3 1-1 5 0 0 1 10 - -
Buddy Hield 11 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Obi Toppin 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Jarace Walker 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kendall Brown 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Isaiah Jackson 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Ben Sheppard 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 38 8-23 1-5 2-2 6 3 0 1 19 - -
Brandon Miller * 37 10-25 5-12 10-12 6 1 1 2 35 - -
Nick Richards * 32 5-7 0-0 2-2 10 2 0 0 12 - -
Ish Smith * 25 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 3 - -
Bryce McGowens * 16 0-2 0-1 4-4 1 1 0 0 4 - -
P.J. Washington 31 9-16 1-6 3-5 9 2 2 1 22 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 25 1-8 0-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 - -
Leaky Black 18 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 - -
JT Thor 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Nathan Mensah 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
James Bouknight 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter