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2024-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 82.0% 18.0% -
Bradley-Terry 71.5% 28.5% -
Margin 83.5% 16.5% -8.9 (19.1 off)
Pythagorean 62.9% 37.1% -
Efficiency 81.5% 18.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.9% 21.1% -
Log Adjusted 78.9% 21.1% -
Points Off/Def 69.1% 30.9% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -28 (112-140). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 31 16-21 4-5 7-7 2 6 2 0 43 - -
Grayson Allen * 27 2-6 1-4 1-2 3 4 0 0 6 - -
Kevin Durant * 26 7-9 3-3 1-2 4 3 2 1 18 - -
Devin Booker * 25 4-11 1-3 5-5 1 6 0 0 14 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 24 7-11 0-1 4-6 13 8 1 0 18 - -
Eric Gordon 18 3-6 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 7 - -
Drew Eubanks 15 1-1 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 2 5 - -
Bol Bol 15 4-7 0-2 0-0 7 0 1 0 8 - -
Josh Okogie 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Jordan Goodwin 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 1 4 - -
Yuta Watanabe 7 3-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 2 0 7 - -
Chimezie Metu 7 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 2 - -
Nassir Little 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deni Avdija * 25 10-13 3-5 1-4 3 1 1 1 24 - -
Bilal Coulibaly * 25 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Tyus Jones * 24 7-15 0-3 0-0 1 8 1 0 14 - -
Daniel Gafford * 24 7-7 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 2 15 - -
Jordan Poole * 19 1-7 0-3 2-2 5 7 0 0 4 - -
Corey Kispert 24 6-13 0-7 3-3 2 4 1 0 15 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 23 6-12 1-3 3-4 10 3 3 0 16 - -
Landry Shamet 21 6-10 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 13 - -
Johnny Davis 17 1-7 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 - -
Delon Wright 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 6 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Jules Bernard 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 3 1 1 3 - -
Anthony Gill 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 - -

* = starter