Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.2% | 32.8% | -4.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -16 (101-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 35 | 12-20 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 30 | 12-18 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 28 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 23 | 11-15 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 25 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro | 24 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 17 | 0-9 | 0-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 34 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 29 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 26 | 5-16 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 22 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 20 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 15 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 9 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter