Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -12 (117-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 40 | 20-28 | 2-5 | 6-10 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 48 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 10-11 | 5-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 38 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 32 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez * | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 31 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 20 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 42 | 13-26 | 4-12 | 10-11 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 40 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 37 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 33 | 8-11 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 38 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter