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2024-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 27.1% 72.9% -
Bradley-Terry 36.4% 63.6% -
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.9 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% -
Efficiency 59.7% 40.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.0% 39.0% -
Log Adjusted 61.0% 39.0% -
Points Off/Def 52.8% 47.2% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -8 (115-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 39 6-8 0-1 1-1 14 10 1 0 13 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 35 13-24 5-11 10-12 4 4 5 0 41 - -
Harrison Barnes * 34 4-10 1-5 2-2 1 0 1 0 11 - -
Keegan Murray * 31 2-6 1-5 0-0 6 3 2 0 5 - -
Kevin Huerter * 20 3-9 1-5 2-2 2 2 1 0 9 - -
Malik Monk 33 7-14 2-4 6-7 5 7 0 1 22 - -
Trey Lyles 23 5-8 5-7 1-1 5 3 2 0 16 - -
Davion Mitchell 13 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 4 0 0 4 - -
JaVale McGee 6 1-3 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Kessler Edwards 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ayo Dosunmu * 39 7-16 3-9 1-2 4 5 2 0 18 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 38 5-14 0-2 14-15 7 6 4 0 24 - -
Alex Caruso * 37 3-7 1-4 0-0 5 6 3 2 7 - -
Coby White * 36 10-18 4-7 2-2 6 4 0 0 26 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 34 10-18 1-4 3-3 12 3 1 0 24 - -
Torrey Craig 14 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Julian Phillips 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 - -
Andre Drummond 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 - -
Jevon Carter 10 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 3 0 4 - -
Terry Taylor 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter