Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +12 (120-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anfernee Simons * | 36 | 11-23 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 35 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Toumani Camara * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Scoot Henderson | 37 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 11-12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath | 20 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin Minaya | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ibou Badji | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 38 | 11-16 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 22 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 34 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 33 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 5-21 | 3-15 | 0-0 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 27 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 24 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 21 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Braxton Key | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter