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2024-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 43.7% 56.3% -
Bradley-Terry 25.0% 75.0% -
Margin 15.4% 84.6% +9.4 (19.6 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% -
Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.1% 74.9% -
Log Adjusted 25.0% 75.0% -
Points Off/Def 28.6% 71.4% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +29 (135-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 33 10-17 1-2 7-8 7 4 1 0 28 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 29 7-16 6-11 5-7 1 6 0 0 25 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 25 5-12 2-5 0-0 4 0 2 0 12 - -
Bruce Brown * 25 2-9 1-2 0-0 5 4 2 2 5 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 20 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 6 - -
Thaddeus Young 25 4-4 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 0 8 - -
Gradey Dick 23 1-8 0-4 1-2 7 0 3 0 3 - -
Dennis Schroder 22 4-10 0-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 8 - -
Jordan Nwora 16 3-5 0-1 2-2 1 0 2 1 8 - -
Jalen McDaniels 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Garrett Temple 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alperen Sengun * 28 10-14 1-2 3-3 13 8 0 0 24 - -
Jalen Green * 27 7-14 0-4 0-1 4 3 0 0 14 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 24 4-9 2-5 1-1 3 1 0 0 11 - -
Fred VanVleet * 24 4-7 2-4 0-0 2 6 0 1 10 - -
Dillon Brooks * 23 2-6 1-2 1-2 5 0 0 1 6 - -
Amen Thompson 24 9-11 0-1 1-2 7 4 2 1 19 - -
Cam Whitmore 21 10-17 3-7 2-2 6 1 2 0 25 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 - -
Jeff Green 15 2-2 0-0 4-4 3 1 1 0 8 - -
Aaron Holiday 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 - -
Reggie Bullock Jr. 9 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Jermaine Samuels Jr. 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Nate Hinton 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Boban Marjanovic 3 2-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter