Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -11 (122-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 37 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 35 | 11-21 | 1-5 | 2-6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 25 | 17 | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 34 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 33 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 30 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 27 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 21 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 15 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 36 | 10-14 | 2-2 | 9-10 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 28 | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 35 | 10-15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| T.J. McConnell * | 22 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 28 | 7-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 21 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 16 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter