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2024-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 60.8% 39.2% -
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% -
Margin 47.2% 52.8% +0.6 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% -
Efficiency 64.4% 35.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.3% 36.7% -
Log Adjusted 63.3% 36.7% -
Points Off/Def 55.3% 44.7% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +9 (129-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 39 5-16 0-7 4-4 4 10 0 0 14 - -
Kevin Durant * 38 14-24 5-9 2-2 8 8 2 1 35 - -
Devin Booker * 38 8-16 3-8 5-6 6 4 1 0 24 - -
Grayson Allen * 31 5-7 1-3 1-1 2 4 1 2 12 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 23 7-9 0-0 0-1 9 3 1 1 14 - -
Eric Gordon 27 2-5 2-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 6 - -
Drew Eubanks 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Josh Okogie 14 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 9 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 42 12-17 7-11 1-2 1 15 3 1 32 - -
Dejounte Murray * 39 7-17 1-8 7-8 8 5 1 0 22 - -
Jalen Johnson * 37 6-14 2-6 2-3 7 4 1 1 16 - -
Clint Capela * 20 5-10 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 0 11 - -
Saddiq Bey * 16 1-7 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 34 8-12 4-7 3-3 4 5 0 0 23 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 27 7-8 1-1 0-0 7 0 1 2 15 - -
Wesley Matthews 12 2-6 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Patty Mills 9 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter