Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.8% | 50.2% | +0.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +3 (119-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 39 | 9-23 | 3-13 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 16 | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 37 | 10-16 | 0-2 | 7-11 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 27 | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 36 | 7-14 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 34 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 22 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 18 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 8 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anfernee Simons * | 38 | 10-19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 13 | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 37 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 35 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 35 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - | |
| Jabari Walker * | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - | |
| Scoot Henderson | 22 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - | |
| Toumani Camara | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 18 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Duop Reath | 13 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
* = starter