Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +5 (105-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 39 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 1-6 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 38 | 6-17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 36 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson * | 20 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 29 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 16 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luguentz Dort * | 36 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 10-22 | 2-3 | 12-13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 34 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 32 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 25 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 24 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 18 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Vasilije Micic | 16 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter