Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.8% | 80.2% | +7.7 | ✓ (26.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +34 (121-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Hardy * | 31 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 31 | 5-16 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 29 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 16 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 31 | 11-15 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 29 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 25 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 24 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 26 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 23 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Wendell Moore Jr. | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Luka Garza | 5 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter