Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +7 (128-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 30 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 30 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 28 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala * | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 29 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 22 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 19 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 16 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 35 | 14-25 | 6-13 | 11-12 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 45 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 20 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 24 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 16 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter