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2024-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 45.0% 55.0% -
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 39.9% 60.1% +2.3 (13.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -
Efficiency 31.6% 68.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.8% 66.2% -
Log Adjusted 33.7% 66.3% -
Points Off/Def 34.2% 65.8% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -11 (107-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bruce Brown * 37 7-13 1-3 4-4 7 3 3 2 19 - -
Scottie Barnes * 36 4-14 0-3 5-6 4 7 1 0 13 - -
Dennis Schroder * 33 5-11 0-1 6-7 3 10 2 1 16 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 32 9-15 6-11 0-0 5 1 1 0 24 - -
Thaddeus Young * 31 8-13 0-1 0-0 6 6 0 0 16 - -
Gradey Dick 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 - -
Jordan Nwora 18 5-7 4-5 3-3 2 0 0 1 17 - -
Jalen McDaniels 14 3-6 2-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 8 - -
Chris Boucher 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Jontay Porter 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Garrett Temple 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 41 8-17 0-5 9-12 2 5 3 4 25 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 39 8-11 4-5 1-2 5 2 0 1 21 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 36 5-11 2-5 2-2 9 3 2 1 14 - -
Coby White * 35 5-10 1-4 2-2 2 6 1 0 13 - -
Alex Caruso * 32 3-9 1-6 4-6 3 2 1 2 11 - -
Julian Phillips 20 3-4 2-3 1-1 1 0 0 0 9 - -
Andre Drummond 14 3-4 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 1 7 - -
Jevon Carter 13 1-5 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 - -
Dalen Terry 8 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 - -

* = starter