Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +5 (129-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nesmith * | 41 | 11-17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 36 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 31 | 9-16 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 25 | 7-18 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 22 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard | 28 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 21 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 20 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 39 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 38 | 12-19 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 35 | 9-15 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 35 | 8-16 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 31 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 23 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Neemias Queta | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter