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2024-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 31.5% 68.5% -
Bradley-Terry 53.4% 46.6% -
Margin 47.4% 52.6% +0.6 (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% -
Efficiency 57.2% 42.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.2% 41.8% -
Log Adjusted 58.2% 41.8% -
Points Off/Def 51.5% 48.5% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +16 (138-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 35 7-17 2-6 4-9 9 8 1 1 20 - -
Austin Reaves * 32 10-19 3-8 5-7 0 6 2 0 28 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 27 3-11 1-5 2-2 1 5 0 0 9 - -
Taurean Prince * 24 3-7 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 7 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 24 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 4 1 6 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 25 6-6 0-0 0-1 4 3 2 0 12 - -
Rui Hachimura 23 7-11 2-4 0-2 4 0 2 0 16 - -
Christian Wood 22 4-7 0-1 1-2 8 2 0 0 9 - -
Max Christie 10 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 5 - -
Jalen Hood-Schifino 3 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Skylar Mays 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Dylan Windler 3 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Maxwell Lewis 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 35 5-10 1-5 7-8 8 2 1 0 18 - -
Jalen Johnson * 34 8-14 1-2 2-2 11 3 3 0 19 - -
Trae Young * 34 9-20 6-9 2-2 2 13 1 0 26 - -
Dejounte Murray * 33 11-19 0-4 2-2 4 9 2 0 24 - -
Clint Capela * 24 6-10 0-0 1-2 12 1 1 1 13 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 25 4-4 1-1 2-2 4 1 2 1 11 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 24 7-15 4-9 0-0 1 1 0 0 18 - -
De'Andre Hunter 16 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Garrison Mathews 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Kobe Bufkin 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Patty Mills 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
AJ Griffin 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter