Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.3% | 73.7% | +5.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (113-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 36 | 11-19 | 1-1 | 6-11 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 35 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 34 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 29 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 24 | 2-13 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 39 | 10-25 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 37 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 13-22 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 20 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter