Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | +0.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +2 (131-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 38 | 13-25 | 4-8 | 6-11 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 32 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 25 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black | 30 | 7-9 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 24 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Chuma Okeke | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 43 | 12-23 | 3-8 | 18-21 | 9 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 45 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 40 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 36 | 11-17 | 5-9 | 9-11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 28 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 26 | 8-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter