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2024-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 30.3% 69.7% -
Bradley-Terry 35.4% 64.6% -
Margin 20.3% 79.7% +7.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% -
Log Adjusted 46.9% 53.1% -
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +16 (135-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Angelo Russell * 41 8-19 3-12 4-5 1 5 1 0 23 - -
LeBron James * 36 9-15 2-5 3-8 6 10 1 1 23 - -
Austin Reaves * 29 3-8 1-3 1-2 3 5 1 0 8 - -
Anthony Davis * 28 10-20 3-3 0-1 7 2 2 1 23 - -
Taurean Prince * 25 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 1 5 - -
Rui Hachimura 22 4-5 2-3 6-8 5 1 1 0 16 - -
Max Christie 20 3-6 1-2 0-0 6 1 0 1 7 - -
Jaxson Hayes 13 4-4 0-0 1-1 2 0 1 1 9 - -
Christian Wood 10 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 7 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 1 0 3 - -
Jalen Hood-Schifino 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 - -
Maxwell Lewis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Green * 40 12-23 4-10 6-6 12 7 1 0 34 - -
Alperen Sengun * 39 14-23 1-4 2-4 12 7 2 1 31 - -
Fred VanVleet * 37 0-4 0-4 3-4 4 14 2 0 3 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 36 8-13 2-5 0-0 9 4 3 1 18 - -
Dillon Brooks * 28 7-12 2-4 1-2 3 1 1 0 17 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 18 3-7 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Cam Whitmore 18 7-12 2-6 4-6 6 0 0 0 20 - -
Amen Thompson 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 0 - -
Jeff Green 8 1-3 0-1 3-3 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Jermaine Samuels Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Nate Hinton 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter